Depending on who you ask, Canada’s insurance industry entered the hard market sometime at the end of 2018, or at the start of 2019. What is universally agreed upon, however, was that the market began to harden even before COVID-19. Many have also pointed out that it would take some time for the market to soften; according to Deloitte, although rates have broadly stabilized, “troubled industry sectors… are expected to continue experiencing rate pressure and issues with capacity.”
Insurance Business Canada asked Brent Hunder (pictured), marketer at Megson FitzPatrick Insurance Services, about what makes a hard market, and what that means for Canada’s insurance brokers.
What is the difference between a “hard insurance market” and a “soft insurance market”?
The insurance industry is known to fluctuate between hard and soft market cycles.
Hard insurance markets are characterized as having increased insurance premiums, reduced capacity for insurers to take on business (both for renewal business and for new business), more stringent underwriting criteria, reduced coverage, and less competition as some insurance companies withdraw from certain industry segments altogether.
A soft insurance market offers lower insurance premiums, broader coverages from insurance companies, relaxed underwriting criteria, increased capacity for insurers to take on business, and increased competition amongst insurance companies.
To summarize, a hard market is when there is a high demand for insurance but a lower supply of coverage available.
Until mid-2018, the insurance industry had spent just over a decade in a soft market. However, since the autumn of 2018 we have been in a hard market.
What caused this hard market?
Hard markets inevitably follow soft markets because risks unwritten at unsustainably low prices must eventually be offset with higher premiums. After a few tough years, the Canadian insurance industry has been operating at a loss across all lines. Growing claims costs have outpaced the money insurance companies can get back in premiums and investments.
There are a variety of factors that can influence the shift towards a hard market, including:
In the last 10 years, Canada has seen some of its costliest natural disasters, including the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfires, 2013 floods in southern Alberta and Ontario, and the 2020 hailstorm in Calgary. In 2021, severe weather across Canada is estimated to have reached $2.1 billion in insured damages. On a global scale, 2017 saw up to $200 billion in insured damages with hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria.
How does the hard market affect insurance customers?
As a result of the hardening market, many insurance customers have experienced one or a combination of higher premiums, reduced coverage, and a more in-depth renewal underwriting process.
Some customers have been forced to find a new insurer when their current insurer has decided to not offer renewal of their existing policy. This can result in significant premium increases and in some extreme cases has left some customers unable to find adequate insurance coverage.
How long will it last?
It is difficult to predict how long each market cycle will last, and we don’t know if anyone can say for sure when we will see the end of this hard market.
Some classes of business, like property insurance, were quick to enter the hard market. They have started to plateau and are expected to continue that trajectory into this year. Other classes, like certain financial and professional lines, are expected to remain as is or continue hardening over the next year or two.
Ultimately, the end of the hard market will arrive when adequate rates are being consistently charged and insurance companies start taking in more profit than they are paying out in claims.
What can insurance brokers do in this hard market?
From the insurance broker perspective, you will likely need to be prepared for some rate increases, though there are steps you can take to help minimize the impact on your clients:
Consider different coverage and deductible options. In the soft market, it was common to see low deductibles of $1,000 or $2,500. In the current market the client may be more comfortable increasing their deductible in exchange for some relief on the premium.